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  2. U.S. House Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house

    Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...

  3. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast

    In 2020, polls overestimated Joe Biden’s margin over Donald Trump by about 4.5 points on average. If polls underestimate Harris by the same amount, she will win all of the states 538 currently rates as toss-up states up to and including Florida.

  4. President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general

    An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  5. Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

    www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/...

    Overall, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in The New York Times’s average of national polls, while the race remains extraordinarily close in the seven key battleground states. No candidate...

  6. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  7. LATEST. Live Results: Alabama State House Special Election. 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map. This isn’t a popularity contest™. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast.

  8. Final Forecast: Republicans Are Favored To Win The House

    fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-2022-house...

    Here is a list of every House seat that Democrats have a greater than 25 percent chance to pick up, 5 according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast.