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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Latest updates. Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes, according to our model on Tuesday, Oct. 1 at 11 a.m. Eastern.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .
When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Oct. 3, 2024, at 8:47 PM. Latest Polls. Looking for our forecast? Click me! Recent polling average updates.