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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...
UPDATED Oct. 7, 2024, at 10:54 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 55 times...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
This new Cook Political Report swing state survey that you worked on shows Harris leading or tied with Trump in all but one of seven battleground states. Biden and his team felt the Blue Wall was ...
This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump.
As well as an average of the polls, you can also see historic polling data for Mr Biden and Mr Trump, more recent polling since Ms Harris entered the contest, and key dates in the race and ...