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Our model simulates thousands of potential outcomes for the election by adding randomly generated polling errors (of various severity) to our current forecast vote margins in each state. In...
Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,...
Harris carries the Rust Belt. Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, matching Biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how...
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
Choose a starting map. The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election.
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
View CNN’s Electoral College maps to explore the votes needed to win the US presidential election. For more information, visit cnn.com/election.
5 min. 194. Voting booths are set up at a polling place in Newtown, Pa., on April 23. (Matt Rourke/AP) Column by Philip Bump. Updated September 27, 2024 at 12:46 p.m. EDT | Published September 27 ...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.