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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national Republican primary polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national Democratic primary polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”.
Who’s ahead in North Carolina? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.