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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...

  3. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

  4. 2024 United States Senate elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_Senate...

    Chuck Schumer. Democratic. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections. [ 3] Senators are divided into three classes whose six-year terms are staggered so that a different class is ...

  5. 2016 President Forecast - The Huffington Post

    elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president

    They never changed the outcome of an election, so we don’t model them.) We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president. Frequency of electoral.

  6. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  7. 2024 United States Senate election in Montana - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_Senate...

    Helena. v. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Democratic incumbent Jon Tester is seeking a fourth term. He is being challenged by Republican Tim Sheehy. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.

  8. Determined to push forward, Biden tightens his circle and ...

    www.aol.com/news/determined-push-forward-biden...

    “People have got to be a little bit careful with the data,” Rosenberg said, referring to a 538 forecast on Friday that showed Biden had slightly better odds of winning in November than Trump ...

  9. 2022 United States Senate election in Colorado - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate...

    The 2022 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado. Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won reelection to a third full term, defeating Republican businessman Joe O'Dea. Originally appointed to the seat in 2009, [1] Bennet won ...