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538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023. On September 18, 2023, the original website domain at fivethirtyeight.com was closed, and web traffic became redirected to ABC News ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election.The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The FiveThirtyEight average of polls of Republican primary voters just days away from 2024 showed Trump with a massive, nearly 50-point lead over DeSantis, 61.4% to 11.7%. Almost a year ago, the ...
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. Cygnal; Elway Research; Emerson College Polling
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
In Ohio, a state Trump won by 10 points in 2020, Republican nominee JD Vance, the “Hillbilly Elegy” author, is effectively tied with Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in the latest polls. In ...
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.