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  2. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Cornel West. [] Local regression of polling between Harris, Trump, Kennedy, West and Stein conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line is when Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee.

  3. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction ...

  4. Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling...

    Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage

  5. 2024 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States...

    The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. [ 1 ] Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will choose a slate of electors to the U.S. Electoral College, who will then elect a president and vice president for a term of four years.

  6. 'An early and violent start': NOAA issues dire hurricane ...

    www.aol.com/early-violent-start-noaa-issues...

    Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane-season forecasts, slightly dialed back its predictions for the season compared with what it said earlier this year. The forecasting team, led ...

  7. How accurate is the forecast in Iowa? New data shows how far ...

    www.aol.com/accurate-forecast-iowa-data-shows...

    But, warmer months are easier to predict than cooler months, The Post said. Iowa City's forecast was accurate three days out. Coastal regions can be easier to forecast, The Post said, due to the ...

  8. 2024 United States elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_elections

    The 2024 United States elections are scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. During this presidential election year, the president and vice president will be elected. In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the ...

  9. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...