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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the...
UPDATED Oct. 8, 2024, at 3:55 PM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 55 times out...
An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Ronald Reagan 1981-89. Jimmy Carter 1977-81. Gerald Ford 1974-77. Richard Nixon 1969-74. Lyndon B. Johnson 1963-69. John F. Kennedy 1961-63. Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953-61. Harry S. Truman 1945-53. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.