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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Nationwide Survey. Conducted 03/29/24 - 03/31/24. 1092 Respondents. Likely General Election Voters. Response Rate: 2.19%. Margin of Error: 2.9%. Confidence: 95%. Response Distribution: 50%. Methodology: TheTrafalgarGroup.org/Polling-Methodology.
Overall, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump in The New York Times’s average of national polls, while the race remains extraordinarily close in the seven key battleground states. No...
Narrow victories in a handful of swing states will likely determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest national...
Latest updates. Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of...
Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Updated September 26, 2024. By Lenny Bronner, Diane Napolitano, Kati Perry and Luis Melgar. What’s changed: Vice President Kamala Harris still leads by two points nationally and her leads in the...
This feature shows the most recent election where the state voted with or against the presidential winner in each party. Click the year to see the corresponding electoral map and results. National Winner
The final Times/Siena poll shows Mr. Biden up by six points in the state, right between his seven-point lead in the ABC/Post poll and his five-point lead in the most recent Muhlenberg College...
Harris has been ahead of Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July, as shown in the chart below with the latest figures rounded to the nearest whole...